2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Election Odds
Brian Kemp is term-limited. Georgia has shifted from R+6 to R+3 since 2016, and Stacey Abrams — who lost to Kemp twice — has the option of a third run. The Republican primary features Lt. Gov. Burt Jones and AG Chris Carr, two distinct Republican profiles.
Odds over time
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Brian Kemp is term-limited. Georgia has shifted from R+6 to R+3 since 2016, and Stacey Abrams — who lost to Kemp twice — has the option of a third run. The Republican primary features Lt. Gov. Burt Jones and AG Chris Carr, two distinct Republican profiles.
Race at a glance
- Cook PVI: R+3
- Rating: Lean R
- Incumbent: Brian Kemp (Republican) — term limited
- Prior result (2022): Brian Kemp (Republican) won by 7.5 points
Candidates
Democratic field: Stacey Abrams, Nikema Williams, Keisha Lance Bottoms, Jason Esteves.
Republican field: Burt Jones, Chris Carr, Brian Kemp (open to Senate bid).
What Polymarket traders are watching
- Kemp decision: Senate, governor again (constitutional question), or out
- Stacey Abrams 2026 decision (third run or pass)
- Jones vs Carr Republican primary debate performance
Full editorial analysis of the 2026 map: 2026 governors hub.
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Live markets for this race
| Market | Leading | Prob. | Closes | Volume | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Frequently asked questions
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- 01.FiveThirtyEight forecast archivePolling model
- 02.Cook Political ReportExpert ratings
- 03.RealClearPoliticsPolling aggregator
- 04.Our methodologyInternal