About Political Forecasts

Political Forecasts is an independent site covering prediction-market odds for every major election and policy event. We write with the editorial standards of a newsroom and the rigor of a data shop.

What we cover

• Every US federal election — presidential, senate, house, governors
• Major foreign elections — UK, Canada, Germany, France, Brazil, India, Mexico
• Policy events — shutdowns, Fed decisions, Supreme Court rulings, tariffs, ceasefires
• Post-election accuracy reviews and historical analysis

Editorial stance

Politically neutral, data-driven, no endorsements. We report what Polymarket and Kalshi imply — we do not predict winners or prescribe bets. Call candidates by their name without partisan framing. Cite primary sources. Hedge language reflects uncertainty that is real.

How we make money

Affiliate referrals on Polymarket and Kalshi sign-ups. See our disclosure. Editorial coverage is independent of which platform a reader ultimately chooses.

Sister sites

• predictionmarkets101.com — general Polymarket education
• polytaxes.com — tax reporting for prediction-market winnings

Contact

Data, media, or correction requests: hello@politicalforecasts.com.